{"id":318602,"date":"2022-09-28T12:42:22","date_gmt":"2022-09-28T15:42:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/anba.com.br\/clima-e-logistica-afetarao-exportacoes-de-cafe-do-brasil\/"},"modified":"2022-09-29T17:44:21","modified_gmt":"2022-09-29T20:44:21","slug":"weather-logistics-to-impact-brazilian-coffee-exports","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/anba.com.br\/en\/weather-logistics-to-impact-brazilian-coffee-exports\/","title":{"rendered":"Weather, logistics to impact Brazilian coffee exports"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>S\u00e3o Paulo \u2013 Estimates are for low output until the next <strong>coffee harvest<\/strong> in the region where the largest cooperative in Brazil, <strong>Cooxup\u00e9<\/strong>, operates. Experts in plant physiology and climate have argued the issues date back to the frosts of 2021 and through periods of drought in 2022.<\/p>\n<p>In addition, Carlos Augusto Rodrigues de Melo, president of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cooxupe.com.br\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Cooxup\u00e9<\/a>, said, \u201c<strong>exports<\/strong> have been the villain in the history of coffee.\u201d \u201cThe pandemic, if it brought trouble to coffee, was of a <strong>logistical<\/strong> nature, mainly <strong>maritime<\/strong>,\u201d he reported in an interview with ANBA.<\/p>\n<p>Despite believing the cooperative could reach its goal of exporting 6.8 million bags of coffee in 2022, Melo explains shipments actually had a little boost from bags stored before 2021. \u201cHowever, in terms of coffee shipments, the previous harvest predominates in the rise in exports in the following year. This year is unusual because, in 2021, we had a smaller <strong>harvest<\/strong>. And due to the weather, in 2022 again, but we already had stocks in the cooperative [to add to the 2021 coffee],\u201d he explained.<\/p>\n<p><em>Read more on coffee:<\/em><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/anba.com.br\/en\/volcanic-soil-brings-families-together-in-coffee-region\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Volcanic soil brings families together in coffee region<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/anba.com.br\/en\/new-coffee-trends-in-dubai\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">New coffee trends in Dubai<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/anba.com.br\/en\/coffee-show-in-libya-seeks-exhibitors-from-brazil\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Coffee show in Libya seeks exhibitors from Brazil<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The problem is with the use of inventories; the cooperative has no second option to fulfill its shipments. \u201cIn the first half of 2023, it may be early, but it is very close to having concerns of market shortage for shipments. There will not be [much coffee] from the 2022 crop and, consequently, smaller shipments. And concerning [logistic] disorders, I believe they will continue. In the first half of 2023, we will still have export shipments problems,\u201d the president added.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Coffee bag prices<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In addition to the weather, factors such as fuel and fertilizers have impacted the <strong>price<\/strong> of coffee bags on the market. On the subject, Melo is categorical: There is no way to know if it goes up or down, even in the short term. \u201cAs for the future, it is much undefined because we are coming out of two low harvests. The world has very similar production and demand. Consumption continues to grow, even with changes in habits during the pandemic, expanding in the area, especially Asia, not just China, but also others like South Korea,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Long-term impacts<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>At the 4th Coffee and Climate Forum held by Cooxup\u00e9 this Tuesday (27), experts discussed climate and the current scenario of coffee plantations. According to \u00c9der Ribeiro dos Santos, coordinator of the Department of Geoprocessing at Cooxup\u00e9, the crops of the 2021 harvest were very stressed when heavy <strong>frosts<\/strong> hit a large part of regions such as the South of Minas Gerais state. \u201cWhat\u2019s different about this year? We have already come from a low output, but it is difficult to measure the stock. This will make all the difference in flowering and ripening,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>To know what the 2023 harvest would be like, there are some points of attention for Santos. Among them were the long period of <strong>drought<\/strong> during the last two crop years, the higher temperature variation on the same day, and the <strong>water deficit<\/strong> in 2022, which was as intense as in 2021.<\/p>\n<p>In this sense, Cl\u00e1udio Pagotto Ronchi, professor at the Federal University of Vi\u00e7osa (UFV), recalled coffee trees have suffered in recent years. Frosts forced many producers to do intense <strong>pruning<\/strong> of the plants. As a result, many of them were skeletonized, which is when the branches are removed, or slashed, a technique that leaves only the lowest part of the trunk or even uprooted. \u201cThe crops that were removed, slashed, or skeletonized last year did not yield coffee this year. Maybe they will give a little bit next year or only in 2024,\u201d pointed out Ronchi.<\/p>\n<p>Regarding the <strong>weather<\/strong> next year, Marco Ant\u00f4nio dos Santos, an agronomist, agrometeorologist, and founding partner of Rural Clima, brought good prospects. \u201cIn the summer, we could have big spikes of high temperature because there will be no more La Ni\u00f1a. But, in general, what we see ahead is a much better condition than in previous years, similar to 2019 and 2020,\u201d pointed out the agrometeorologist.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Translated by El\u00fasio Brasileiro<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"credits-overlay\" data-target=\".wp-image-318586\">Press release\/cooxupe<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Droughts and frosts affected the productivity of coffee plantations in the region of the largest coffee cooperative in Brazil, Cooxup\u00e9. According to the entity\u2019s president, logistical issues could also hamper shipments in 2023.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2324,"featured_media":318586,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[102],"tags":[32854,5478,5475,35340,24559,5398,1916,35349,35348,13864,35343,35352,2188,8332,35351,35344,2671,35345,14623,5163,32852,35347,35350,13536],"class_list":{"0":"post-318602","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-agribusiness","8":"tag-2022-harvest","9":"tag-bags","10":"tag-brazilian-coffee","11":"tag-cafes-do-brasil-en-2","12":"tag-cafes-do-brasil-en","13":"tag-climate","14":"tag-coffee","15":"tag-coffee-crops","16":"tag-coffee-harvesting","17":"tag-cooxupe-en","18":"tag-deficit-hidrico-en","19":"tag-drought","20":"tag-export","21":"tag-farming","22":"tag-frosts","23":"tag-geadas-en","24":"tag-harvest","25":"tag-lavoura-en","26":"tag-logistics-en","27":"tag-production","28":"tag-safra-2022-en","29":"tag-seca-en","30":"tag-water-deficit","31":"tag-weather"},"wps_subtitle":"Droughts and frosts affected the productivity of coffee plantations in the region of the largest coffee cooperative in Brazil, Cooxup\u00e9. According to the entity\u2019s president, logistical issues could also hamper shipments in 2023.","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/anba.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/318602","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/anba.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/anba.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anba.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2324"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anba.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=318602"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/anba.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/318602\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anba.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/318586"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/anba.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=318602"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anba.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=318602"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anba.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=318602"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}