Rio de Janeiro – Brazil’s 2015 crop should be 2.5% larger than in 2014. The estimate has been released by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) this Tuesday (11th) in the Systematic Survey of Agricultural Production + 2015 Crop. Next year, 198.3 million tonnes of cereals, legumes and oilseeds should be harvested in the country.
Considering the major crops for next summer, harvest should be up 9% for soy, 1.4% for hulled rice and 0.3% for first-crop maize. Crops should also increase by 11% for beans and 10.7% for hulled peanuts. The only major crop whose output is poised to decline is herbaceous cotton (-8%).
The 2.5% increase expected in 2015 is attributed by the IBGE to a 1.5% increment in planted area and a 7.2% increase in average yield for soy, resulting in an additional 7.7 million tonnes compared with the 2014 harvest.
In turn, crop output this year should be 2.8% higher than in 2013, according to a survey conducted by the IBGE in October. The forecast is the same as in the preceding survey, from September. Output is expected to amount to 193.5 million tonnes by the end of the year.
The larger crop in 2014 is mostly a consequence of a 5.6% increase in soy output, a 3.4% increase in rice output and a 2.7% increase in maize. Sixteen of the 26 main products surveyed by the IBGE should see an increase in output by the end of the year.
In Brasília, the National Supply Company (Conab) has released its crop estimates. According to organization’s second survey of the 2014/2015 crop cycle, cereal crops should yield from 194.39 million to 199.97 million tonnes, respectively a 0.1% decline or a 2.7% increase from the prior crop.
As for individual crops, out of the total crop yield, soy is expected to account for 45.92%, maize, for 39.62%, rice for 6.34%, wheat for 3.55%, beans for 1.61%, cotton for 1.26% and the remaining products should make up 1.7%.
The discrepancy between IBGE and Conab figures is due to the time frames in which the surveys were conducted. The IBGE assesses crops from January to December, whereas the Conab works based on the crop-year, lasting from August to July of the following year.
*Translated by Gabriel Pomerancblum
